Betting football NCAA
May 6th College Football news ... Welcome to Betting football NCAA, the place that provides the college football bettor with everything he needs to score a profit over the long run.
Welcome to bettingfootballncaa.com, the place that provides the college football bettor with everything he needs to score a profit over the long run.
Whether you bet every Saturday throughout the fall or just bet on the Bowls, stopping by our site is a must in order to consistently handicap the games.
You will have access to all of the key trends, statistics and news by simply logging on throughout the football season.
College Football News
2015 Kentucky Derby Odds
Kentucky Derby week is one of the most thrilling times of the year. This race is known as "The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports" for its approximate time length.
Check 2015 KY Derby Schedule May 1 and 24 at Sportsbook.com
Odds to Win 2015 Kentucky Derby
Kansas State vs. Kansas Betting Odds and Preview
Sportsbook.com’s Betting Lines: Kansas State Football Live Betting Lines nfl football betting Online Bingo NFL Betting Lines -3, Total: 50
In-state rivals are looking to get back on track following blowout losses as they meet for the 108th time in the Sunflower Showdown. K-State surrendered 451 rushing yards in a 48-13 home loss to Nebraska while Kansas allowed 678 total yards in a 55-7 defeat to Baylor. The Wildcats, who have not played a true road game this season, have lost eight straight road games. After losing three straight meetings to the Jayhawks, KSU won last year 17-10, behind 185 rushing yards and a TD from Daniel Thomas.
Thomas is really the only offensive player getting the job done. His 138 rushing YPG ranks seventh in the nation, but he has not had much room to run in the past two weeks (44 carries, 142 yds, 3.2 YPC). Kansas State is still not comfortable with its quarterback situation, considering the Wildcats have the fourth-worst passing offense among FBS schools (156 pass YPG). Senior Carson Coffman remains the starter despite three straight sub-par performances -- 55% completion rate, 128 passing YPG, 2 TD, 3 INT. Another area where KSU is very weak, is its run defense. KSU now ranks as the fifth-worst such unit in the nation (247 rush YPG) following the Nebraska game.
Kansas has also struggled stopping the run, allowing 188 rushing YPG (95th in nation). And the Jayhawks aren’t much better offensively, ranking 100th in the nation with 19.2 PPG. But KU is much more secure in its QB position with freshman Jordan Webb continuing to improve. Webb has four straight games with a TD pass and has completed more than 60 percent of his attempts this year. Another freshman, James Sims, has done a nice job rushing the football with 410 total yards and three touchdowns in four games.
The favorite in this series is 11-3 SU & ATS since 1996. No wonder 87% of the college football betting population at Sportsbook.com are pounding the KSU point spread (-3).
Here are a few betting trends to consider before making your Kansas State vs. Kansas bets.
Play On - A road team (KANSAS ST) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. (27-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 3*
KSU head coach Bill Snyder is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival in all games he has coached since 1992. The average score was Snyder 31.2, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*).
While the following college football betting trends leans towards the under covering.
Play Under - Any team against the total (KANSAS) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in the first half of the season.
(53-16 since 1992.) (76.8%, +35.4 units. Rating = 4*).
To check out more college football betting trends or to bet on tonight’s game, head over to Sportsbook.com.
CFB: Recent Bowl Game Betting Happenings
For almost every one of the 34 bowl games, we’ve been given at least two weeks to prepare. In that sense, we might as well dig up as much as we can in search of that one golden nugget for each. In this piece, we’ll take a look at some general bowl game trends recent years, then dive into some more team specific trends for the ’09-10 bowl games. View the current lines for all the games on the LIVE ODDS page of Sportsbook.com.
Here are some highlights of past bowl game action in terms of Home/Road, Favorite/Underdog, and Totals results.
- After being an UNDERDOG dominated event in the early part of the decade, FAVORITES have turned the tables in bowl games the last two years, going 17-15 ATS in ’08-09 & 18-14 ATS the prior season, good for 55% ATS. During that same span, UNDER has been the winning total wager in 36 of 66 games, also 55%.
- In BCS games of the last two years, FAVORITES hold a 6-4 SU edge but the ATS ledger is split 5/5.
- FAVORITES have held the biggest edge over the last two seasons in post-New Year’s non-BCS games, going 9-3 SU & 8-4 ATS.
- Prior to the ‘07-08 bowl season, a distinct pattern had been forming in which UNDERDOGS were dominating the bowl games between the two holidays, Christmas Day and New Year’s Day. However, in the last two seasons, that pattern has reversed itself, with FAVORITES going 16-13 ATS in those games.
- There were seven games in the ’08-09 bowl season that matched BCS-level conference schools against non-BCS opponents. In those games, the big boys took care of business with a 6-1 SU & ATS record. The only loss Utah’s Sugar Bowl upset of Alabama. Over the last two bowl seasons now, BCS schools own a 12-5 ATS mark in such matchups.
- Double-digit underdogs weren’t as effective as usual last season in bowl games but still managed to split four games against the spread. Overall, these heavy pups are 35-25-2 ATS, 58.3%, since 1992. The opening lines for the ‘09-10 bowl season show just three different games with pointspreads of 10-points or more.
- Concerning totals, 21 of last year’s 34 games went UNDER the total. In fact, in the games that were expected to be the most high scoring, or those with posted totals of 51 or higher, the UNDER was 16-6.
Here are some angles digging deeper into the “quality” of the bowl series. I have broken the database of past bowl games into five different categories.
BCS Bowl Games
- Dating back to ’04, UNDERDOGS own a sizeable 17-10 ATS edge in the last five bowl game seasons.
- The most likely FAVORITES to cover in BCS bowl games are those laying 5-points or less, 11-7 ATS in the L18
- The SEC owns a 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 BCS bowl games, best of any league
Post New Year’s Day Low Level Bowl Games
- FAVORITES dominate the late season lower tier bowl games, 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in the L11. Eight of the 11 games in this group were decided by 18-points or more.
- The bigger the FAVORITE in this category, the bigger the chance for a blowout. Chalk of 6-points or more from this set of games is 6-1 ATS in the L7.
- MAC teams are the most frequent victim in the post-New Year’s Day low level bowl games, 1-5 ATS.
Christmas thru New Year’s Eve Bowl Games
- In last year’s post-Christmas, pre-New Year’s bowl season, 11 of 15 games went UNDER the total.
- Dating back to ’98, UNDERDOGS own a huge 96-55-3 ATS (64%) edge in this grouping of bowl games. However, as noted earlier, FAVORITES have sliced the gap in the last two years.
- Double-digit UNDERDOGS are a near automatic play during this portion of the bowl season, 16-3 ATS since ’98. There could be two in place for ’09 if the lines in the Boston College & Stanford games climb a bit before kickoff.
Premium Post-New Year’s Bowl Games
- The Premium Post-New Year’s Bowl Games are those most likely to go UNDER the total, 35-23 (60%) since ’96. These games typically include the Outback, Gator, Capital One, and Cotton Bowl games.
- Interestingly, in these Premium Games with higher pointspreads, or those 7-points or greater, the OVER is 14-10 since ’92.
- The OUTRIGHT winner is a nearly automatic pointspread winner in this category of bowl games, 58-7-2 ATS since ’92.
- Dating back to ’02, FAVORITES own a significant edge of 33-7 SU & 25-15 ATS (60%) in the pre-Christmas Day bowl games.
- Small FAVORITES, or those of -3.5 or less, have been particularly dominant in pre-Christmas Day bowl games over the last seven years, 16-2 SU & 15-3 ATS. For ’09, there were four teams fitting that bill as of presstime, Rutgers, Southern Miss, Oregon St, and California.
- Oddsmakers have done a fine job indicating the tempo of these pre-Christmas Day bowl games. In those with totals of 63.5 or higher, 12 of the L13 games have gone OVER the total, producing 82.1 PPG. The Nevada-SMU game could prove to be a shootout.
Does how a team is playing at the end of the regular season have any bearing on how they do in their bowl game. I’ve heard arguments on both sides and have seen completely varying results on this subject. In any case, here are the hottest and coldest of the 68 teams taking part in this year’s bowl game lineup. Keep track of how these teams do, and if you see a pattern forming either way, take advantage.
The HOT Teams Heading into the Bowl Games
* TEMPLE won eight of 11 games against the spread in '09
* UCF was 9-2 ATS in '09, including 4-0 ATS in its L4
* MIDDLE TENN ST comes into its bowl game on a 6-game SU & ATS winning streak
* OREGON ST closed the season on a 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS surge
* NEVADA was 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS down the stretch, scoring 49.6 PPG
* OHIO U, GEORGIA TECH, and TROY all won eight of their L10 games ATS
* VIRGINIA TECH swept its L4 opponents SU & ATS, yielding just 9.5 PPG
* OHIO ST was 9-2 ATS after its season opening narrow win over Navy, allowing just 10.8 PPG
* CONNECTICUT was the nation's top spread covering team in '09, 10-2 ATS
* TCU was 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS down the stretch, winning by 36.6 PPG
The COLD Teams Heading into the Bowl Games
* UCLA was just 3-6 SU & ATS in its L9 games of the season
* BYU was just 3-7 ATS in its L10 regular season games
* Following its season opening rout win, USC went on to lose nine of its L11 ATS
* TEXAS A&M made a bowl game despite winning just three of its L9 games
* After starting 7-0 ATS, IDAHO finished the season on a 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS skid
* MISSOURI was just 2-6 ATS in its L8 games
* AUBURN was just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in its L6 lined games
* FLORIDA ST was just 3-9 ATS this season
* S FLORIDA received a bowl bid despite going 2-5 SU & ATS in its L7 games
* MICHIGAN ST was just 1-4-1 ATS in a season-ending swoon
For more great bowl game trends, predictions, previews, and forecasts, be sure to pick up a copy of the 2009-10 StatFox Edge Bowl Game Handicapping Guide, or click on the TEAM STATISTICS & BETTING TRENDS pages.